Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA clear sky 88 10
Houston, TX scattered clouds 93 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 94 10
San Diego, CA clear sky 87 10
Tampa, FL broken clouds 90 10
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 84 8
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 79 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 73 8
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 76 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 75 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 78 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 85 8
Miami, FL broken clouds 92 8
Minneapolis, MN scattered clouds 74 8
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 68 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 77 8
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 85 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 70 7
Denver, CO broken clouds 78 7
Detroit, MI broken clouds 67 7
Philadelphia, PA clear sky 75 7
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 66 7
Seattle, WA scattered clouds 70 7
Washington, DC clear sky 78 7
Sacramento, CA clear sky 71 5
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 77 5
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 65 4
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 69 3
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 64 3
Toronto, ON scattered clouds 63 3
Data last updated: 1756490165
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