Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 90 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 93 10
Houston, TX very heavy rain 94 10
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 91 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 99 10
Tampa, FL broken clouds 89 10
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 85 8
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 80 8
Boston, MA overcast clouds 68 8
Bronx, NY broken clouds 76 8
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 78 8
Denver, CO broken clouds 80 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 82 8
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 77 8
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 70 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 76 8
San Diego, CA few clouds 84 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 70 8
Seattle, WA scattered clouds 72 8
Detroit, MI broken clouds 67 7
Miami, FL moderate rain 86 7
St. Louis, MO clear sky 87 7
Arlington, TX scattered clouds 83 6
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 77 6
Washington, DC broken clouds 80 6
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 68 4
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 68 3
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 65 3
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 63 3
Toronto, ON broken clouds 65 3
Data last updated: 1756500967
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